Interest Rates

 

 

.
An investment that requires $2000 initial investment will return $800 at the end of first year, $850 at the end of second year, and $900 at the end of third year. Assume the discount rate is continuously compounded at 10%. What is the Net Present Value of the investment?

NPV=PV-I = $800*e-.10*1+$850*e-.10*2+$900*e-.10*3 -$2,000=723.87+695.92+666.74-2,000=86.53

.
The current price of a stock is $40, and two-month European call options with a strike price of $39 currently sell for $5. An investor who feels that the price of the stock will increase is trying to decide between buying 100 shares and buying 800 call options (8 contracts). Both strategies involve an investment of $4,000.
a. Which strategy will earn more profits if the stock increases to $42?
b. How high does the stock price have to rise for the option strategy to be more profitable?

A:
a. If the stock closes at $42, buying100 shares will have a profit 0f $200 and buying 800 calls will have a loss of $1600. So buying stocks will be better than buying options.
Shares Price Position Cost Profit
stock investing 100 42.00 $4200 4000 $200.00
options only investing 800 $3(ITM) $2400 4,000 -$1600
Stock investing makes a profit of $200 and a loss of $1600 for options investing.

b. The strategies are equally profitable if the stock price rises to a level, S

The profit to buy 100 shares: 100 x S – 4,000
The profit to buy 1000 calls: 800(S – 39) – 4000

100 x S – 4,000 = 800(S – 39) – 4000

Find S:

100 x S – 4,000 = 800x S – 31200 – 4,000
700S=31200
S=31200/700=44.57

The option strategy is therefore more profitable if the stock price rises above $44.57

. (protective put)
The stock price of BAC is currently $120 and a put option with strike price of $120 is $5. A trader goes long 200 shares of BAC stock and long 2 contracts of the put options with strike price of $120.
a. What is the maximum potential loss for the trader?
b. When the stock price is $140, what is the trader’s net profit?

Solution:
a. What is the maximum potential loss for the trader?
S= $120 K= $120 P= $5
long 200 long 200 P

The costs to establish this protective put position: 200*$120+200*$5=$24,000+$1,000=$25,000

When the stock goes below $120, you will exercise the protective put option to limit the losses.
The sale proceeds from exercising put option (to sell the stock at $120) =200*$120=$24,000
The profit= sale proceeds – initial costs=$24,000-$25,000=-$1000
So the maximum loss=$1,000

b. When the stock price is $140, what is the trader’s net profit?
S= $140 K= $120 P= $5
The stock value at $140 per share =200*$140=$28,000
initial costs=$25,000
Net profit=28000-25000=$3000

. (Compare Options versus stock investments)
Suppose you think Tesla stock is going to appreciate substantially in value in the next year. Say the stock’s current price, S, is $500, and a call option expiring in one year has an exercise price, X, of $510 and is selling at a price, C, of $50. With $50,000 to invest, you are considering three investment alternatives.
Alternative A: Invest all $50,000 in the stock, buying 100 shares.
Alternative B: Invest all $50,000 in 1,000 options (10 contracts).
Alternative C: Buy 100 options (one contract) for $5,000, and invest the remaining $45,000 in a money market fund paying 6% annual interest.
a. What is total value of the investment for alternative A if Tesla stock goes up to $700 one year later?
b. What is your rate of return for alternative A if Tesla stock goes up to $700 one year later?
c. What is total value of the investment for alternative C if Tesla stock goes up to $700 one year later?
d. What is your rate of return for alternative C if Tesla stock goes up to $700 one year later?

Dollar Value Rate of Returns
Stock price=  700 700
Alternative A All stocks(100 shares) 70000 40.00%
Alternative B All Options(1000 shares) 190000 280.00%
Alternative C Bills+100 Options 66782.64 33.57%
Please make sure you feel comfortable with the answers in the table. Refer to the teaching note for the detailed steps in the calculations.
Answer a: Alternative C will buy 100 options (one contract) for $5000, and invest the remaining money ($45000) in a money market fund paying 6% annual interest:
the investment in the money market fund will becomes: 45000*ert= 45000*e0.06*1= 45000*1.061837 =47782.64 (t is the number of years)
When the stock price is $700, each call option will make a gain of $190 ($700-510=190), 100 call options will make 100*$190=19,000
The total dollar value will be 47782.64+19000=66782.64

.
Suppose that zero and forward rates are as follows:
Zero rate for an n-year
investment (% per annum)
Year(n) (% per annum)
1 3.0
2 4.0 (rate for two years)
3 4.6 (rate for three years)
4 5.0 (rate for four years)
5 5.3 (rate for five years)

Please calculate
Solution:
Zero rate for an n-year Forward Rate
investment (% per annum) For nth Year
Year(n) (% per annum) (% per annum)
1 3.0
2 4.0 (rate for two years) 5.0 (2nd yr rate)
3 4.6 (rate for three years) 5.8 (3rd yr rate)
4 5.0 (rate for four years) 6.2 (4th yr rate)
5 5.3 (rate for five years) 6.5 (5th yr rate)

In this example, future LIBOR rate (RM) is not given, we will use the forward rate for (RM).

Determine the forward rate for the second year: (please review the teaching notes)
The forward rate for the period between times TT and TT+1 is
(RT+1TT+1 -RTTT)/(TT+1-TT)

Forward rate for the second year: (R2T2 -R1T1)/(T2-T1)=(4*2-3*1)/(2-1)=5/1=5% (Please verify the forward rates for the other periods)

So the forward rate in the second year is 5% with continuous compounding or 5.127% (er-1=e0.05-1=1.05127-1=0.05127) with annual compounding.

the cash flow to the lender at T2: L(Rk-RF)(T2-T1)
=100m(6%-5.127%)(2-1)=$873,000

What is the value today? VFRA=PV=873,000*e^(-R2T2)= 873,000*e^(-R2T2)= 873,000*e^(-4%*2)=$805,880.6

Or use the equation (4.9) from the book, VFRA=L(Rk-RF)(T2-T1)*e-R2T2

VFRA= 100,000,000(0.06-0.05127)(2-1)*e-0.04*2=$805,880.6

Interest Rates

 

 

Many managers do not understand the various ways that interest rates can affect business decisions. For example, if your company decided to build a plant with a 30-year life and short-term debt financing (renewed annually), the cost of the plant could skyrocket if interest rates were to return to their previous highs of 12% to 14%. On the other hand, locking into high, long-term rates could be very costly also with a long period when low short-term interest rates were to be available. As you can see, the ability to know your economic environment and its impact on projected interest rates can be crucial to making good financing decisions.

Describe two to three macroeconomic factors that influence interest rates in general. Explain the effects of each factor on interest rates.

Now think about the industry in which you are employed or one in which you have past experience. To what macroeconomic factors is your industry most sensitive?

Describe two contemporary factors that seem to be impacting your industry today, and identify their impacts on the interest rates experienced within your chosen industry.

Support your comments with your own experiences, the weekly resources, and/or additional research. Use APA throughout and provide appropriate in-text citations and references.

Part 2: Stock Valuation, Risk, and Returns

Stock valuation- 4 links below

Dividend Discount Model Stock Valuation

How to value a company using discounted cash flow (DCF)

Stock Valuation and Investment Decisions

The links above contain information on stock valuation, risk, and returns. Please review each one of them. Based on the knowledge gained from the materials presented in the links above, complete the following activities:

Present a detailed discussion of what you learned about stock valuation. Provide examples of how your company has used the concepts. Do you believe financing a company’s operation using stock is better than financing with bonds? Why or why not? Support your discussion with a numerical example.

Based on the materials presented in the “Risk and Return” video (4th link), present a discussion on why the materials are important in financial decision-making. How would you incorporate risk and return in your financing decisions?

Interest Rates

 

 

 

Many managers do not understand the various ways that interest rates can affect business decisions. For example, if your company decided to build a plant with a 30-year life and short-term debt financing (renewed annually), the cost of the plant could skyrocket if interest rates were to return to their previous highs of 12% to 14%. On the other hand, locking into high, long-term rates could be very costly also with a long period when low short-term interest rates were to be available. As you can see, the ability to know your economic environment and its impact on projected interest rates can be crucial to making good financing decisions.

Describe two to three macroeconomic factors that influence interest rates in general. Explain the effects of each factor on interest rates.

Now think about the industry in which you are employed or one in which you have past experience. To what macroeconomic factors is your industry most sensitive?

Describe two contemporary factors that seem to be impacting your industry today, and identify their impacts on the interest rates experienced within your chosen industry.

Support your comments with your own experiences, the weekly resources, and/or additional research. Use APA throughout and provide appropriate in-text citations and references.

 

Interest Rates

 

 

 

Many managers do not understand the various ways that interest rates can affect business decisions. For example, if your company decided to build a plant with a 30-year life and short-term debt financing (renewed annually), the cost of the plant could skyrocket if interest rates were to return to their previous highs of 12% to 14%. On the other hand, locking into high, long-term rates could be very costly also with a long period when low short-term interest rates were to be available. As you can see, the ability to know your economic environment and its impact on projected interest rates can be crucial to making good financing decisions.

Describe two to three macroeconomic factors that influence interest rates in general. Explain the effects of each factor on interest rates.

Now think about the industry in which you are employed or one in which you have past experience. To what macroeconomic factors is your industry most sensitive?

Describe two contemporary factors that seem to be impacting your industry today, and identify their impacts on the interest rates experienced within your chosen industry.

Support your comments with your own experiences, the weekly resources, and/or additional research. Use APA throughout and provide appropriate in-text citations and references.

 

Interest rates

Interest rates are a fact of life that you will encounter both professionally and personally. One area of interest rates that you may be most concerned about are those applied to credit card debt. Let’s say that you had $2400 on a particular credit card that charges an annual percentage rate (APR) of 21% and requires that you pay a minimum of 2% per month. Could you determine the minimum monthly payment? The minimum monthly payment would simply be 2% times the balance as shown:

2% x $2400.00 = 0.02 x $2400.00 = $48.00

So, your monthly minimum payment would be $48.00. Do you know how much of this is being applied to the principle and how much is going to interest? To determine this, you would need to know the simple interest formula.

I = Prt

In this formula, I = interest, P = is the principle (balance), r = is the annual percentage rate, and t is the time frame. To determine the interest per month on a balance of $2400 with an APR of 21%, you would let P = $2400, r = .21, and t = 1/12 (1 month is 1/12 of a year). The interest paid each month would then be:

I = Prt = ($2400)(.21)(1/12) = $42.00

So, you are paying $42.00 per month towards interest. With a minimum payment of $48.00, that means you are paying $6.00 per month towards the balance ($48.00 – $42.00 = $6.00). No wonder it takes so long to pay off a credit card!

Research interest rates and consumer debt using the Argosy University online library resources and the Internet.

Based on the articles and your independent research, respond to the following:

How is consumer debt different today than in the past?
What role do interest rates play in mounting consumer debt?
What are the typical interest rates applied to credit cards, mortgages, and other debt?
Many of today’s interest rates are variable rather than fixed. What difference does this make to pension plans, housing loans, and other personal finances?