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Probability that less than 4 of the covers streamed were by male singers

The Cover-Song-Nation Streaming Station has 60 covers of the song, No More No Less by Jexlyn Brown, 48 by female singers and 12 by male singers. Over the past month, 30 No More No Less covers have been randomly streamed (and once played are no longer streamed for that month’s rotation of songs). Artist consider having their song streamed a ‘success.”

What is the probability less than 4 of the covers streamed were by male singers?

 

 

 

Sample Answer

To calculate the probability that less than 4 of the covers streamed were by male singers, we can use the concept of binomial probability.

Let’s denote:

– n = total number of covers streamed (30)
– k = number of covers by male singers (0, 1, 2, or 3)
– p = probability of a cover being by a male singer (12/60 = 0.2)
– q = probability of a cover NOT being by a male singer (1 – p = 0.8)

The probability of exactly k successes (covers by male singers) out of n trials is given by the binomial probability formula:
[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \times p^k \times q^{n-k} ]

Now, we need to calculate the probabilities for k = 0, 1, 2, and 3 covers by male singers and sum them up to find the total probability of less than 4 covers being by male singers:
[ P(X < 4) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) ]

Let’s calculate these probabilities:

– For k = 0: [ P(X = 0) = \binom{30}{0} \times 0.2^0 \times 0.8^{30} ]
– For k = 1: [ P(X = 1) = \binom{30}{1} \times 0.2^1 \times 0.8^{29} ]
– For k = 2: [ P(X = 2) = \binom{30}{2} \times 0.2^2 \times 0.8^{28} ]
– For k = 3: [ P(X = 3) = \binom{30}{3} \times 0.2^3 \times 0.8^{27} ]

After calculating these probabilities and summing them up, we will get the total probability of less than 4 covers being by male singers.

Let me perform these calculations for you. Stay tuned for the results.

 

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